Author: | FigBits | Posted: | Jul 20, 2016 12:36 | Subject: | Re: standard deviation on price indices | Viewed: | 24 times | Topic: | Suggestions | |
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| In Suggestions, yorbrick writes:
| | Not all prices have normal distribution. Sometimes the outliers are significant.
http://www.bricklink.com/catalogPG.asp?P=62360&colorID=11
For the last several months, the trimmed mean for this part would have shown
around $1. The actual mean (which is what currently gets displayed) was $2. If
I had some last month, I probably would have listed them at $15, which would
likely have been the highest listing at the time. And they probably would have
sold by now.
Now, in that case, the mean isn't a particularly good representation either.
But it's a better number for a seller wondering what price they should ask,
than the trimmed mean.
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For parts like that that are getting rarer due to many people wanting them for
well known MOCs (similar has happened for the Bat-Pod), then having another option
to use a 1-month mean for sold parts may also make sense.
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That part is already possible now, using the "Price & Group by month" link on
the PG pages. (It's grouped by calendar month, as opposed to showing the
previous 30 days worth of sales.)
| Although this is where a seller that knows his stock and his business makes money.
I bought quite a few of those windshields from people listing them cheap (and
also the dino necks and fezes) because it was fairly obvious they would increase
in value.
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Right. There are some other parts where the listings don't follow a normal
distribution, which might have illustrated my point better ... but I didn't
want to draw attention to them because I am currently benefiting from that knowledge!
--
Marc.
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Message is in Reply To: 21 Messages in this Thread: Msg 1 - brick_projects (3653) 96 months ago Jul 20, 2016 to Suggestions Msg 2 - FigBits (3563) 96 months ago Jul 20, 2016 to Suggestions Msg 3 - jeslego (1050) 96 months ago Jul 20, 2016 to Suggestions Msg 4 - FigBits (3563) 96 months ago Jul 20, 2016 to Suggestions Msg 5 - yorbrick (1185) 96 months ago Jul 20, 2016 to Suggestions Msg 6 « - FigBits (3563) 96 months ago Jul 20, 2016 to Suggestions Msg 7 - jeslego (1050) 96 months ago Jul 20, 2016 to Suggestions Msg 8 - FigBits (3563) 96 months ago Jul 20, 2016 to Suggestions Msg 9 - jedvii (666) 96 months ago Jul 22, 2016 to Suggestions Msg 10 - yorbrick (1185) 96 months ago Jul 20, 2016 to Suggestions Msg 11 - jancg (378) 96 months ago Jul 20, 2016 to Suggestions Msg 12 - ToddMyers (356) 96 months ago Jul 20, 2016 to Suggestions Msg 13 - jancg (378) 96 months ago Jul 20, 2016 to Suggestions Msg 14 - Leftoverbricks (2225) 96 months ago Jul 20, 2016 to Suggestions Msg 15 - garbanzo (322) 96 months ago Jul 20, 2016 to Suggestions Msg 16 - jancg (378) 96 months ago Jul 20, 2016 to Suggestions Msg 17 - yorbrick (1185) 96 months ago Jul 20, 2016 to Suggestions Msg 18 - ToriHada (8887) 96 months ago Jul 20, 2016 to Suggestions Msg 19 - Made_In_Bricks (3994) 96 months ago Jul 20, 2016 to Suggestions Msg 20 - FigBits (3563) 96 months ago Jul 20, 2016 to Suggestions Msg 21 - wildchicken13 (876) 43 months ago Nov 17, 2020 to Suggestions
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